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Should we really fear frosts?

Anthony Kaczmarek
Anthony Kaczmarek 04/05/2025 18:42 5 min
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What a slap! Temperatures have literally collapsed this Sunday, sometimes with 10 to 15 ° C less in 24 hours in a part of the northern half of the country: 9 ° C of lost in Paris, 10 in Tours and Dijon, 12 ° C less in Nancy, and 15 ° C of lost in Strasbourg. This Monday, freshness will be intensifying againwith a very unpleasant kiss. Should we be concerned about a risk of frost?

Sometimes less than 5 ° C at daybreak

L’maritime polar air Coming from Scandinavia and the North Pole will continue to tumble on France this Monday, in a flow of northeast, in connection with high pressures centered on the British Islands. At 1500m altitude, temperatures will sometimes pass into the negative in the north (0 to -2 ° C near the Channel), while in the south, they will still reach 4 to 8 ° C.

Monday morning temperatures
This Monday morning, temperatures will sometimes descend under 5 ° C between Normandy and Hauts-de-France, with a very low risk of white frosts.

Wake upand sub-assessment, the temperatures will therefore drop again, from 3 to 7 ° C compared to this Sunday, except near the Mediterranean where they will remain stationary. It will often do just after sunrise 4 to 9 ° C only on the northern halfvalues ​​below normal, but still 8 to 13 ° C in the south (it will be seasonal), and 13 to 16 ° C near the Mediterranean.

Concretely, expect to 4 ° C only in Rouen and Abbeville, 5 ° C to LilleOrleans and Le Mans, 6 ° C in Nancy, 7 ° C to ParisBrest and Tours, 8 ° C in Strasbourg, Clermont-Ferrand and La Rochelle, 9 ° C in Lyon, Dijon and Limoges, 10 ° C in Bordeaux and Grenoble, 11 ° C in Tarbes and Montélimar, 12 ° C in Toulouse, 13 ° C in Marseille and Biarritz, 14 ° C in Perpignan, 15 ° C in Toulon and 16 ° C in Ajaccio.

Locally, Values ​​from 2 to 3 ° C are probable in campaign on Hauts-de-France and Normandywith a risk of white jelly on the ground, but No sub-Sabri gelwhich is good news for vegetation.

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A cool afternoon, especially exposed to the wind

The night radiation cannot fully have its effect: certainly, there will be clearings, but the Northeast kiss that will blow at 50 or 60 km/h in gusts will limit the drop in mercury somewhat. However, The feeling will be very invigorating and cold at daybreak, negative between Normandy and the north of the Seine (0 to -2)and weakly positive elsewhere on the rest of the northern half (2 to 4).

Temperatures Monday afternoon
On Monday afternoon, being exposed to the wind, the temperatures felt could remain blocked under 8-10 near the Côtes de la Manche.

In the afternoonmaximum temperatures will further drop compared to this Sunday, sometimes 1 to 4 ° C less, up to 5 to 8 ° C lost for Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes. These values ​​will be around 3 ° C lower than seasonal normal on the country (5 ° C locally), with no more than 12 to 17 ° C to the north, 14 to 19 ° C southand anyway 20 to 24 ° C near the Mediterranean (where it will be seasonal).

Wind presentation, The feeling will often be less than 8-10 on Brittany, Normandy and near the Côtes de la Manchebut sub-abri, expect yourself to 12 ° C in Mulhouse, 13 ° C in Brest and Caen14 ° C in Besançon and Grenoble, 15 ° C in Lille, Nantes and Clermont-Ferrand, 16 ° C in Paris and Strasbourg17 ° C in Nancy, Toulouse and Biarritz, 18 ° C in Bordeaux, 19 ° C in Agen, 20 ° C in Marseille, 24 ° C in Bastia.

Temperature anomaly Monday afternoon
This Monday afternoon, temperatures will sometimes be located 3 to 5 ° C below seasonal norms over the northern half.

Tuesday, the morning freshness will also win the southern regionswhile in the afternoon, the values ​​will rise from one to three degrees over the northern half. These values ​​will still take a degree on Wednesday, then will not move until Friday. If the risk of sub-assessment is completely dismissedwe cannot exclude again A few rare white frosts on Tuesday morning locally.

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