This Sunday evening, the Pierre-Mauroy stadium welcomes the poster that ends the 32nd day of Ligue 1: an explosive LOSC-OM with decisive match for the podium. Olympique de Marseille currently occupies 3rd place with 58 points, tied with Monaco (2nd), while LOSC Lille points to 6th position with 56 points. Immersed in bookmakers forecasts for this top shock that could rebathe cards in the race for Europe.
If we believe the sports betting operators, it is the LOSC which leaves with a slight advantage for this confrontation. The DOGUES are credited on a side of 2.31 for the victory, which represents around 42% probability of success. OM, yet better classified in the championship, sees its victory listed at 3.10, while the draw appears 3.50 with an estimated probability of 25%.
This trend in favor of Lille is no doubt explained by the advantage of the field, the LOSC having made the Pierre-Mauroy stadium a real fortress this season. However, the relatively low gap between the dimensions well reflects the balance of the forces present for this shock to considerable issues.
In detail of the exact scores, it is however the 1-1 draw which appears as the most likely scenario with a dimension of 5.65. This forecast perfectly reflects the expected tension between two training courses which will not want to lose ground in the podium race. For a Lille victory, the 1-0 is considered the most plausible score (rating of 8.35), followed by 2-0 (10.80). On the Marseille side, the bookmakers favor a 0-1 or 1-2 success, with very close odds (respectively 9.85 and 9.80).
The 0-0 draw is evaluated at 11.80, while a more unbridled party ending with a 2-2 receives a rating of 11.20. These forecasts suggest a rather closed match, where each team could adopt a cautious approach to the importance of the issue.
In the radius of the potential offensive protagonists, Jonathan David stands out clearly on the Lille side. The Canadian scorer is credited on a dimension of 2.49 to find the net of the nets, and 2.05 to be decisive in the meeting. His teammate Chuba Akpom follows at a respectable distance with a 3.30 scorer side, while Icelandic Hakon Arnar Haraldsson completes the Lille offensive trio with a coast of 4.30.
The favorite LOSC but the privileged draw
In the Marseille camp, it is not surprisingly Mason Greenwood which is identified as the main offensive threat. The Englishman is given at 2.85 to score and to 2.25 to be decisive. Amine Gouiri (3.55) and Faris Moumbagna (3.70) are also mentioned as potential dangers for Lille defense. Note that Gouiri is considered to be a first -rate occasions provider with a dimension of 4.90 to issue a decisive pass, the best in the match in this category.
This duel between Losc Lille and Olympique de Marseille promises to be a real turning point in the podium race. A victory for the Phocaeans would allow them to consolidate their place in the Top 3 and potentially to dig the gap with their pursuers. On the other hand, a Lille success would considerably tighten the gap between the two teams and could even propel the LOSC into the top trio according to the other results.
Bookmakers are considering a tight, tactical meeting, where the experience of the strong men of each team could make the difference. If Jonathan David and Mason Greenwood are expected as the potential heroes of this evening, prudence could nevertheless prevail in this shock at the high stake, as evidenced by the relatively low rating of the draw.
