Throughout the electoral campaign, the political team of Duty Disconnected some of the battlefields where, according to the Aggregator of QC125 surveys, the ballot could be played. Here is his report.
The tightest struggle in Quebec: Terrebonne
His voters kept us in suspense until the last minute – and it’s not over yet. The outgoing blocking deputy, Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné, and the liberal candidate Tatiana Auguste, who was at her first attempt to be elected, literally snatched the votes.
At the beginning of April, The duty had gone to meet the residents of this blocist bastion, because the electoral projections site QC125 predicted a hot fight between the Liberal Party and the Bloc Québécois, with 39 % and 38 % of voting intentions respectively.
In the aftermath of the election, Mme Auguste won with only 35 more votes. But, Thursday, Election Canada published an unexpected update, this time granting the blockist victory by 44 votes. Terrebonne can still reserve us surprises, because a judicial count will take place.
Trois-Rivières comes out of a three-way struggle
Liberal, preservatives and bloquettes voters torn down until the last minute in this district of Mauricie.
In mid-April, the three parties were almost equal in voting intentions, according to the electoral projections site QC125. The candidates in the running? The outgoing deputy, René Villemure (for Quebec Bloc); The former mayor of the city Yves Lévesque (for the Conservative Party); And Caroline Desrochers (for the Liberals), hitherto unknown to Trifluvians. The latter, a resident of the Outaouais, was “parachuted”, said many voters encountered during the passage of Duty in Trois-Rivières.
The Liberal Party sent its big canons-the ministers Mélanie Joly and François-Philippe Champagne-to clear the way. Mme Desrochers will finally win it with a good margin: 41 % of the votes, while its two opponents collected 27 % each.
Windsor-Ouest fears decline and conservative vote
Few voters were also affected by customs duty threats to the automotive sector that Windsor, in southern Ontario, just opposite Detroit. Those of the district of Windsor-Ouest decided to send their deputy from the new Democratic Party, Brian Masse, who fell third.
The Conservative Party won a frank victory in this three race on Monday, by 4,461 votes. The party leader, Pierre Hairy, openly courted the workers syndicated with his slogan “boots, not ties”, and had obtained the support of local Windsor unionists. Conservatives and neodemocrats shared the same promise to eliminate TPS on vehicles made in Canada.
The case of Windsor-Ouest is not unique: none of the five elected officials of the NPD in Ontario survived in the ballot on Monday. The liberal deputy leaving the neighboring district of Windsor-Tecumseh-Lakeshore was also beaten by the conservative candidate.
The United States is currently imposing a surcharge on cars assembled in Canada, which caused the temporary stop at the Stellantis factory in Windsor for two weeks in April. President Trump finally decided this week not to impose the same treatment treatment.
Kitchener-Center turned their backs on the Greens
The conservative chief promised greater security in the streets and the massive construction of housing, a commitment that has obviously resonated in the medium -sized cities of Ontario. As proof: the district of Kitchener-Center, a hundred kilometers west of Toronto, went to blue after the poll on Monday.
The outgoing deputy, Mike Morrice, of the Green Party, however spared no effort in his countryside on the ground, that The duty was able to observe, convincing 2000 more voters than in 2021 to vote green. It was not enough: his conservative opponent, Kelly Deridder, collected 358 more votes than him, ranking Kitchener-Center in the eighth row of the tightest races of the general elections on Monday.
Voters encountered at random by The duty mentioned the sharp increase in roaming, access to property and economic threats from the United States government among their main concerns. The neighboring districts Kitchener-Sud-Hespeler and Cambridge also went from the Liberal Party to the Conservative Party. The latter progressed in Ontario: from 37 constituencies won in 2021, he went to 53 in this province in 2025.
Edmonton Griesbach returns to blue
In Edmonton Griesbach, north of the Alberta capital, the outgoing neodemocratic deputy, Blake Desjarlais, led an intense campaign to defend his constituency in a decisive election for the future of the party. In 2021, he had torn the siege from the Conservative Kerry Diotte by some 1,500 votes. Four years later, a revenge match opposed the same two candidates.
On the field, his team was greatly worried about the fragmentation of votes with the liberal candidate. “We explain to people that voting for the liberal candidate is to give victory to the conservatives,” said a volunteer at the NPD campaign office.
This was obviously not enough: the 18 % of the votes collected by the Liberals were enough to switch the constituency. Conservative Kerry Diotte finally returned to his seat with 45 % of the votes, against 34 % for the NPD, making Edmonton Griesbach one of the 17 constituencies lost by the NPD after the ballot.
Hot struggle in Nunavut
A breakdown of electricity plunged the capital of Nunavut, Iqaluit, in the dark during the counting of the votes on Monday evening. The lights died at 11:42 p.m. inside the NUNATTA Sunakkutaangit museum, where the candidate of the NPD – and outgoing deputy -, Lori Idlout, and her supporters were gathered. “Upon returning from light, a certain tension is more and more felt. [La candidate libérale] Kilikvak Kabloona operates a real ascent to return to the heels of Lori Idlout. […] The duel expected by the polls between the NPD and the PLC therefore takes place, “reports the newspaper Nunovoix. The neodémocrat Lori Idlout was finally re-elected in the largest district of Canada, amassing 77 more votes than the liberal Kilikvak Kabloona at the end of an election campaign dominated by questions linked to the increase in the cost of living and the hardening of the Canada-United States relationship.
