The gas prices in France seem to want to find a semblance of reason when approaching summer. But before exulting, you will have to keep an eye on the regulator.
The price of gas could fall by 5.3 % in June
On May 1, 2025, the energy comparator Selectra has exclusively unveiled its pricing forecasts for the month of June. According to his calculations, The price of the kilowatt hour (kWh) of gas for gas heated households should fall by 5.3 %passing from 0.1162 Euro to 0.11002 Euro. This drop would occur just after a first fall in 6,4 % One May.
Clearly, according to Selectrathe type annual invoice (based on a consumption of 10,000 kWh) would go from 1,439 euros at 1,378 euroseither 61 euros in saving in a month (et 88 euros If we have the two successive drops since April).
But beware: These figures are not final. This is a projection developed by Selectrabased on market trends and components of the gas benchmarks (PRG). THE Real official pricesthose who will make faith for indexed contracts will be published soon by the energy regulation commission (CRE).
Where does this early drop in the price of gas come from?
Selectra attributes this decline to a series of cyclical factors, mainly linked to a Brutal fall in global gas courses. In April 2025, the PEG index – on which rests at 80 % the calculation of the PRG – plunged to 34,52 euros/MWhagainst 40,95 euros/MWh In March. Either a drop of 15.7 % in one month.
Always according to the analysis of Selectrathis tumble is explained by two conjugated dynamics: a surplus of offer in international markets and a request weakened by fears of global recessionsupplied in particular by Donald Trump’s latest statements.
For subscribers using gas only for cooking or hot water, the forecast price would go from 0.14513 euro at 0.13895 Euro per kWhthere again down 4,3 %still according to Selectra.
+ 71 % since 2015
Selectra do not hesitate to remember: despite these good apparent news, The prices remain far above the forefront levels. Since the removal of the regulated rate on June 30, 2023, and the end of the gas price shield, the increases have accumulated.
Still according to Selectra, The average annual bill climbed 28.1 % between June 2023 and June 2025. Over a decade, it’s even more dizzying: +71 % since 2015, for a gas heated to gas.
Pending the publication of CRE
Selectra estimates are not an official rate. These are internal calculations based on econometric models, powered by market data available in April.
The energy regulation commission (CRE)the only competent authority, will publish in the coming days Final prices for the gas landmark price for June 2025. It is therefore strongly recommended not to rush to change your offer or renegotiate your contract Before confirmation of official amounts.
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