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Stock Exchange: Robots propel Tesla’s action upwards

ThoseAutomotive industry Forget cars! It is the robots that raise Tesla’s actions

The titles of the Elon Musk firm have progressed a lot for ten days, despite sales of disappointing cars. What’s going on?

Posted today at 2:19 p.m.

Tesla Bot Optimus exhibited at the World Conference IA 2024 at the Shanghai exhibition center, with visitors taking photos.

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Bottal
In short:
  • Tesla actions climb despite disappointing financial results in the first quarter.
  • The explanation of this unexpected increase is linked to robotics and artificial intelligence.
  • Analysts provide a colossal market for humanoid robots by 2050.
  • Tesla’s Robotaxi project arouses great interest among investors.

It’s hard to believe, seen from Europe, where the popularity of Elon Musk is at the bottom. But the Tesla actions are in the midst of a comeback. While this title had plunged 221 dollars in early April, after disappointing quarterly results, the action jumped at the end of the month.

After ten days of continuous increase, the title pointed to 287 dollars on Friday at the end. The embellish is clear, even if it is still far from the $ 436 in December 2024, shortly after the election of Donald Trump as the Presidency of the United States.

Everything seems against Musk

This takeoff, a spacex rocket way, is all the more surprising since the news seems unfavorable to Elon Musk. The war of customs tariffs initiated by the American president is bad for business. Indeed, if Tesla anyway in the United States, the firm is still faced with customs duties on imported parts.

Elon Musk during a meeting from the cabinet to the White House, wearing a red cap with the inscription 'Gulf America', surrounded by participants and media.

Added to this is the unpopularity of Elon Musk, Since his commitment to politics alongside President Trump. And also the increasingly pressing competition of Chinese electric cars, especially byd.

For the first time in 21 years of history, Deliveries of Tesla cars fell in 2024, and this trend was confirmed in early 2025. The result is disappointing figures. For the first quarter of the year, Tesla announced a profit of $ 399 million, down 65% compared to last year, and much lower than the 900 million expected by Wall Street.

A Tesla Bot Optimus humanoid robot with IA, exposed at the entrance to the Tesla showroom in Munich for visitors inspection on May 22, 2024.

We didn’t understand anything in Tesla

And yet, the action has started up. How to explain this reversal of the situation? Barron’s letter, very read in the financial community, assures that we did not understand anything in Tesla. According to this American source, “robots are greater than customs duties”.

The machines that would be decisive for the future of the American firm are in particular the Cybercab, or Robotaxi concept, this car piloted by an artificial intelligence, which should run in Texas in the coming months. And also the Optimus humanoid robots which are in preparation at Tesla.

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The invasion of humanoid robots

For Adam Jonas, analyst at Morgan Stanley, “there will be a billion humanoid robots in activity around 2050. The size of this market will be $ 5,000 billion per year, twice the size of the current automotive market.” The analyst still believes that China will be one of the leaders in this area, but that Tesla will also be a “Big Player”.

Joseph Spak, analyst at UBS, share this opinion. “The market no longer considers Tesla as a car manufacturer, but rather as an artificial intelligence company.”

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Better than the mobile phone?

Obviously, Elon Musk is not to be outdone, when it comes to delivering ultraoptimistic forecasts on one of his activities. “Tesla is undoubtedly the largest robotics company in the world. Because our cars are semi-sensitive robots on roads. ”

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According to the CEO with multiple caps, which recently staged its hyperactive side at the White House, “the only company that has all the assets to make large-scale smart humanoid robots will be Tesla. I think optimus (Editor’s note: its robot that looks like a gray version of C3P0 in Star Wars) will be a hit 10 times greater than the largest product ever made. ”

Seen from Europe, it may surprise. But unpopularity does not explain everything in economics. Especially not an unexpected increase in actions.

Prototype of Tesla Cybercab exhibited in a Tesla store in San Jose, California, on November 12, 2024. The vehicle, without steering wheel or pedals, will probably be produced in 2026.

Valérie Noël: “The markets anticipate what could happen tomorrow”

A smiling woman with blond and long hair, wearing a blue shirt and a black jacket, arms crossed in front of a gray background.

Tesla seems in difficulty, with disappointing results and a tense international context, especially with China. However, the title has been going back for ten days. What should be understood?

Valérie Noël, trading manager at Banque Syz: Indeed, Tesla’s latest financial results have surprised negatively: fewer cars delivered, declining margins and more vague visibility. Added to this is the uncertain climate of trade relations between the United States and China, a key market for Tesla. However, the action is raised. It is sometimes the paradox of the markets: they do not necessarily anticipate what is visible today, but what could happen tomorrow. Some investors may focus on a technical rebound or on announcements to come around strategic projects, such as on-board artificial intelligence or autonomous vehicles.

Could this increase be explained by a withdrawal from Elon Musk from the political debate?

This is a hypothesis that some evoke. Elon Musk is a “controversial” figure: his involvement in certain political debates has sometimes fueled tensions with part of the investors or the public. A refocusing on Tesla and technology could therefore be perceived as positive. But on the stock market, the course movements are rarely linked to a single cause. It is difficult to know if this factor has really weighed in the recent increase. Note that the appointment of a new CEO of Tesla was also mentioned (notably by the “Wall Street Journal”) but quickly denied by Elon Musk in person.

A large investor recently wrote: “Robots are more important than customs duties.” What does that mean?

This is a way of saying that the technological future of Tesla, especially around robotics, automation and artificial intelligence, is considered more strategic than cyclical vagaries such as customs duties. Clearly: it would be a long -term vision that would prevail over short -term turbulence. But this optimistic reading is not unanimous: it is based on ambitious technological bets, which are not yet all concretized.

Some evoke positive signals on the Robotaxi project. Has it been able to influence the action?

Robotaxi is one of the most emblematic – and most anticipated – Tesla projects. These would be fully autonomous vehicles, capable of circulating without driver. Whenever rumors circulate on an advance or an upcoming announcement, this can stir up the interest of investors. That said, even if the subject fascinates, there are many technical, regulatory and commercial challenges.

Jocelyn Rochat worked for the new daily, the Journal de Genève, the Hebdo and Télétop morning. He now writes in the morning on Sunday, the Genève platform and 24 hours. More info

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