In partnership with vbet.fr, Tennistemple offers you an inventory of the potentially interesting dimensions for the final of the simple ladies of the Madrid WTA 1000 scheduled for this Saturday.
– Our opinion on Sabalenka – Gauff –
The Madrid WTA 1000 has held all its promises in the past two weeks. This Saturday, May 3, place at the grand finale between Aryna Sabalenka (1,70) et Coco Gauff (2.00)in a poster between two of the best players on the female circuit for many years now. On paper, the world number 1 faces the fourth best player on the planet.
Better player of this start to the season, the Belarusian will already play her sixth final in 2025, after those in Brisbane and Miami (won), as well as those in Melbourne for the Australian Open, Indian Wells and Stuttgart (lost).
The world number 1 shows remarkable regularity and will compete in Madrid its third consecutive final, its fourth over the last five editions. Sacred in 2021 and 2023, she, on the other hand, bowed last year against Iga Swiatek but arrived in this final as a living in the premises.
In this tournament, Sabalenka successively eliminated Anna Blinka (6-3, 6-4), Elise Mertens (3-6, 6-2, 6-1), Peyton Stearns (6-2, 6-4), Marta Kostyuk (7-6, 7-6) and Elina Svitolina (6-3, 7-5).
Even if she has not always displayed her best tennis, the Belarusian has always come out, conceding only one set throughout the tournament so far, just like her opponent of the day precisely.
Indeed, Gauff has set a set to set off. Against Dayana Yastremska, the American conceded a scathing 6-0 in the first set before returning the situation (0-6, 6-2, 7-5), before unrolling the rest of the tournament.
The US Open winner in 2023 defeated Ann Li (6-2, 6-3), Belinda Bencic (6-4, 6-2), Mirra Andreeva (7-5, 6-1), before inflicting a correction on an unrecognizable Iga Swiatek (6-1, 6-1) and who did not obtain the slightest Break ball during the semi-final.
Gauff, 21, has never won this Madrid tournament but leads in direct confrontations against Sabalenka (5 victories at 4), and won the only confrontation against the latter on clay.
It was on the occasion of the third round of the Rome tournament in 2021 (7-5, 6-3). This match is undecided on paper and bookmakers do not get wet, believing that there is no real favorite in this meeting.
Here, we see a hanging match but we decide to trust the experience of Belarusian, which already has its bearings in this tournament. This is the reason why we favor A three sets’ victory by Aryna Sabalenka (3.45).
Sometimes heckled in this tournament, notably against Mertens (which took a set) or Kostyuk (which obtained four set balls in total in the meeting), the world number 1 showed mental resources to reach the final.
In this match, you can also be tempted by The rating at more than 22 games (1.75). As you understood, we imagine a match hung, like the last year final when Sabalenka had given in the tie-break of the last round after a breathtaking fight.
So who will triumph in Madrid? Will Sabalenka be able to add a third title in her career in Spain or will GAUFF manage to launch her season with this first title since the WTA Finals last November? Response from 6.30 p.m. to follow the epilogue of this Madrid tournament which held all its promises in the femaleboard.
Bet on this match | TT prognosis
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